
The proposed tax changes for income trusts eliminate their
preferential tax treatment, making them potentially less attractive to
investors. Based on this, income trust prices dropped sharply in early
November. We continue to recommend caution when it comes to investing
in income trusts. What Happened?
The proposed changes in the tax law will treat income trusts like
corporations, eliminating their tax advantage. Beginning in 2007, new
trusts will be taxed as corporations. Existing trusts will be taxed as
corporations beginning in 2011. We expect some income trusts will
consider converting to the corporate structure and most will reduce
their distributions in 2011 when they must pay taxes. The proposal
reduces expected returns significantly for foreign investors, pension
funds and investors holding income trusts in tax deferred accounts such
as RRSPs in 2011. However, taxable investors will be able to deduct any
corporate taxes paid, similar to the current treatment of dividends.
Two other provisions in the proposed tax changes were favourable for
seniors. These include raising the income-tested age credit by $1,000
and permitting income splitting from pensions and other registered
retirement income. If passed into law, these changes would reduce taxes
for many seniors, providing them with additional income. Although we
expect these changes will be enacted into law, some provisions could be
altered along the way. As we’ve recently seen, surprises happen.
Still Say No to Income Trusts
Most companies that currently operate as income trusts are small,
risky, cyclical businesses. As a result, we believe they may not be
able to sustain their distributions over time. In addition, those
distributions could decrease in 2011 when they would begin paying taxes
under the proposed changes.
For these reasons, we continue to believe that most income trust
investments are not suitable for conservative long-term investors. We
generally recommend you allocate less than 5% of your portfolio to
aggressive investments, and most income trusts are aggressive. Review Your Portfolio
If you own income trusts, ask your investment representative for a free
investment review to determine whether these investments still make
sense for you. Since existing trusts are expected to begin paying
corporate taxes in 2011, their prices could decline over time, and
distributions could be cut at any time if the underlying business
falters.
We believe most investors who need income would benefit from a mix of
investments that provide both current and rising income. To achieve
this, we recommend combining bonds, mutual funds and/or stocks that
have a history of increasing their dividends.
Kate Warne, Ph.D., CFA
Canadian Market Strategist
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